AEM Market Update and Analysis
MILWAUKEE – Exports of U.S.-made agricultural equipment were down 14 percent overall for the first three quarters of 2016 compared to January – September of 2015, for a total $5.1 billion shipped to global markets.
Europe and Central America continued to be the growth leaders with Asia leading the double-digit declines for the other world regions, according to the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM), citing U.S. Department of Commerce data it uses in global market reports for members.
AEM is the North American-based international business group representing the off-road equipment manufacturing industry.
Exports by World Region
January-September 2016 U.S. agricultural equipment exports by major world regions compared to January-September 2015:
- Canada dropped 15 percent, for a total $1.5 billion
- Europe gained 4 percent, for a total $1.2 billion
- Central America gained 16 percent, for a total $978 million
- Asia fell 44 percent, for a total $440 million
- Australia/Oceania fell 30 percent for a total $395 million
- South America dropped 28 percent, for a total $374 million
- Africa decreased 21 percent, for a total $160 million
AEM Market Overview
AEM’s Benjamin Duyck, director of market intelligence, provides some insights:
“In the third quarter of 2016, U.S. agriculture equipment exports to the world continue to decline, and the year-over-year third-quarter exports were lower than year-to-date, with a 17.6 percent Y/Y decline, the highest Y/Y quarterly decline this year so far.
“The ag equipment industry continues to suffer from a global ag downturn in large part due to low commodity prices. While some countries might benefit from their higher commodity production levels, the U.S. manufacturers are watching from the sidelines as a strong dollar is making them less competitive in the global marketplace. Of course, the strong currency is a problem that plagues all U.S. exports.
“Our expectations for the fourth quarter remain subdued as the U.S. dollar is experiencing its longest rally in 16 years. With the global economic malaise, the slowdown in emerging markets and the negative interest rates seen in several economies’ bond markets, investment is flowing to the U.S. and U.S. stocks, driving up demand for our dollar, inadvertently affecting our competitiveness abroad.”
Exports by Top 10 Countries
The top countries buying the most U.S.-made agricultural machinery during the first three quarters of 2016 (by dollar volume) were:
1. Canada – $1.5 billion, down 15 percent
2. Mexico – $873 million, up 19 percent
3. Australia – $353 million, down 29 percent
4. Germany – $185 million, up 0.2 percent
5. China – $156 million, down 66 percent
6. France – $128 million, down 10 percent
7. Ukraine – $123 million, up 244 percent
8. Brazil – $115 million, down 33 percent
9. South Africa – $91 million, down 30 percent
10. United Kingdom – $89 million, down 32 percent
Economic Resources Available
AEM provides a variety of market macroeconomic and industry trend data for members as well as survey opportunities and custom research. Visit www.aem.org in the Market Data/Market Intelligence section. For more information, contact AEM’s Benjamin Duyck, director of market intelligence (firstname.lastname@example.org).
Source: Association of Equipment Manufacturers news release